14 Wins

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WellardSaint
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14 Wins

Post: # 2007363Post WellardSaint »

I have us at 14 wins.

Beating Tigers, Hawks twice each, beating Norf again, losing to Dees, Cats, maybe Swans, Lions...

Will 14 get us into the 8?


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007389Post Otiman »

14 wins is 7th based on the last 2 years.

I have us at 15 wins which is top 4 depending on percentage.

Currently at 6 wins:

Wins:
Giants
Hawthorn x2
West Coast
Richmond x2
Gold Coast
North

(gets us to 14)

50/50:
Brisbane home
Carlton
Sydney

(at 50% gets us to 15.5)

Losses:
Melbourne
Geelong
Adelaide
Brisbane away

Any of these is a bonus or recovers from a pencilled in win.


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007424Post darylcowie »

WellardSaint wrote: Mon 08 May 2023 2:59pm I have us at 14 wins.

Beating Tigers, Hawks twice each, beating Norf again, losing to Dees, Cats, maybe Swans, Lions...

Will 14 get us into the 8?
Yes it will get us into the eight easily, but I think we will only win 12 games, which will make it tough.
In our current form we will only beat Hawthorn (twice), West Coast, North, Carlton and Richmond.


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007430Post saynta »

There is an extra game this year.


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007441Post WellardSaint »

darylcowie wrote: Mon 08 May 2023 7:20pm
WellardSaint wrote: Mon 08 May 2023 2:59pm I have us at 14 wins.

Beating Tigers, Hawks twice each, beating Norf again, losing to Dees, Cats, maybe Swans, Lions...

Will 14 get us into the 8?
Yes it will get us into the eight easily, but I think we will only win 12 games, which will make it tough.
In our current form we will only beat Hawthorn (twice), West Coast, North, Carlton and Richmond.
We play Richmond 2x so it's 13 wins


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007459Post darylcowie »

WellardSaint wrote: Mon 08 May 2023 8:07pm
darylcowie wrote: Mon 08 May 2023 7:20pm
WellardSaint wrote: Mon 08 May 2023 2:59pm I have us at 14 wins.

Beating Tigers, Hawks twice each, beating Norf again, losing to Dees, Cats, maybe Swans, Lions...

Will 14 get us into the 8?
Yes it will get us into the eight easily, but I think we will only win 12 games, which will make it tough.
In our current form we will only beat Hawthorn (twice), West Coast, North, Carlton and Richmond.
We play Richmond 2x so it's 13 wins
Phew we can all sleep easily from now on!


its time to make a name for yourself like you've never made before!
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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007460Post darylcowie »

WellardSaint wrote: Mon 08 May 2023 8:07pm
darylcowie wrote: Mon 08 May 2023 7:20pm
WellardSaint wrote: Mon 08 May 2023 2:59pm I have us at 14 wins.

Beating Tigers, Hawks twice each, beating Norf again, losing to Dees, Cats, maybe Swans, Lions...

Will 14 get us into the 8?
Yes it will get us into the eight easily, but I think we will only win 12 games, which will make it tough.
In our current form we will only beat Hawthorn (twice), West Coast, North, Carlton and Richmond.
We play Richmond 2x so it's 13 wins
Phew we can all sleep easily from now on!


its time to make a name for yourself like you've never made before!
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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007489Post B.M »

I don’t assume wins

If you get too far ahead of yourself - footy is a great leveller


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007492Post Teflon »

I think we’ll tire/drop a bit….we are asking a lot from some kids and I’m not sure those coming back in are better…
Exploratory year so care factor …meh
Turn em over end year Ross it’s about top 4 or bust


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007502Post 123 »

I have us finishing 5th. Playing Richmond in week one of finals


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007506Post Devilhead »

Very likely will need 16 or 17 wins to go top 4

15 wins and 8 losses won't cut it


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007606Post B.M »

And turning them over ensures top 4

We sure as s*** turned them over in 2012, Pelchen gutted the list and went to the draft

Next decade was ordinary

Too few leaders
Poor list build
key injuries

Turning them over can backfire


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007611Post Sainternist »

B.M wrote: Tue 09 May 2023 12:22am I don’t assume wins

If you get too far ahead of yourself - footy is a great leveller
Yes, I find it best to take the season a week at a time. A team’s circumstances can change at the drop of a hat.


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007616Post Scollop »

B.M wrote: Tue 09 May 2023 11:33pm
Turning them over can backfire
Agreed. No need to make too many changes and please....No more topping up with small forwards or half back flankers or B grade mids

I think Silvagni has done his job. Stocker and Caminiti have been good additions to the team

We've got a few youngsters in from last years draft who haven't played a game (James Van Es, Olli Hotton and Isaac Keeler).

Just bed those down along with our other under 25's and focus on their development, unless we get someone who is at their peak and elite.

I mentioned under 25's because Coffield, Clark and Paton - all from the 2017 draft- are still 24 years of age. There is improvement in these guys

Silvagni should quit while he's ahead

The club will save a shitload of money and we'll just go with whatever Cal Twomey says on afl.com.au :mrgreen:


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007618Post Yorkeys »

Confuseus say: person who count eggs as chickens often tempt fate to deliver omelette not roosters. One egg at a time, a watched egg never boils....a set shot 30 in front doesn’t count until the fat lady sings.....etc


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007621Post Scollop »

Yorkeys wrote: Wed 10 May 2023 3:32am Confuseus say: person who count eggs as chickens often tempt fate to deliver omelette not roosters. One egg at a time, a watched egg never boils....a set shot 30 in front doesn’t count until the fat lady sings.....etc
What would Confucius say about Higgins missing a set shot from 20 dead in front?

Not going to cut it in a close contest against better opposition. Very much like a singer called Missy singing out of tune 8-)


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007626Post Yorkeys »

Many a slip between cup and lip.
Or
Man with big pay ought not annoy coaches. Become man with small pay.


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007636Post Saintmike65 »

One week at a time…total waste of time trying to crystal ball results!
Just enjoy the ride people!!


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007643Post saynta »

B.M wrote: Tue 09 May 2023 11:33pm And turning them over ensures top 4

We sure as s*** turned them over in 2012, Pelchen gutted the list and went to the draft

Next decade was ordinary

Too few leaders
Poor list build
key injuries

Turning them over can backfire
Pelchen was a deadshit, only trouble was we brought into his hair-brained system.


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007649Post Otiman »

(re)building a list doesn't happen when you bottom out, it is happening all the time.

Just because you don't go in with early picks doesn't mean you cant find a Wilkie or a Geary.

Most good teams have less than a handful of 'cream' players which are usually from the pointy end of the draft.

We have hopefully learned that you need to make the most of draft and trade every year, and develop what you've got.


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2007655Post B.M »

It’s a continuous thing

You keep replenishing the bottom and the top takes care of itself

I have a system for continual development

And
You need to use every mechanism available to improve your list


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2009017Post BadRossco »

14 wins now seems a bit optimistic, I think it may be more like 10 beating the Hawks twice, Westcoast and North the other teams are either better or in better form and we are a few years away from matching most of them.


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2009019Post The Fireman »

B.M wrote: Tue 09 May 2023 12:22am I don’t assume wins

If you get too far ahead of yourself - footy is a great leveller
yes and there are so many level headed people on here.............I'm sure


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2009021Post Otiman »

We are a chance of dropping Giants, Richmond x2, and GC games - all are must win for us.


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Re: 14 Wins

Post: # 2009025Post Sainternist »

How about not getting ahead of ourselves? 8 more wins for that 14 wins seems like a tall order right now.


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