Ladder Watch Round 9

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Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby kosifantutti » Sat 20 May 2017 1:19am

As mentioned previously, it doesn't matter what position we are after round 9 but it makes us feel better.

I'm only considering wins at this stage. As we are the first game tomorrow, we can look at it without worrying about the other games.

Any sort of win, gets us above Port and we would stay there for the week because they have a bye.

To get above West Coast we need
f > 1.13a +15.26
where f = for and a = against
If Sydney score 70 we need 95
If Sydney score 100 we need 129

To get above Geelong we need
f > 1.18a +48.30
where f = for and a = against
If Sydney score 70 we need 131
If Sydney score 100 we need 166

To get above GWS we need
f > 1.21a +68.62
where f = for and a = against
If Sydney score 70 we need 152
If Sydney score 100 we need 190

To get above Adelaide we need
f > 1.27a +115.30
where f = for and a = against
If Sydney score 70 we need 205
If Sydney score 100 we need 243

So theoretically, we could be on top after tomorrow's game. A 20 - 25 goal win will do it.

We'll know more tomorrow afternoon.
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Re: Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby meher baba » Sat 20 May 2017 8:25am

If we beat Sydney by a goal, I'll be ecstatic. They are going to be extremely tough today.
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Re: Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby spert » Sat 20 May 2017 9:16am

Might as well go for broke and win by 20-25 goals.
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Re: Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby Stephen Theodore » Sat 20 May 2017 9:52am

meher baba wrote:If we beat Sydney by a goal, I'll be ecstatic. They are going to be extremely tough today.


I'm with you, a goal will do me. Could be a season definer today, for both clubs
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Re: Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby bigcarl » Sat 20 May 2017 10:05am

Huge test today. The Swans were the best team in it last season. No way have they fallen as far as ladder position indicates.
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Re: Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby meher baba » Sat 20 May 2017 11:59am

And, as I have posted in another thread, I fear that we might find ourselves up against 25 players today.
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Re: Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby WellardSaint » Sat 20 May 2017 12:37pm

meher baba wrote:And, as I have posted in another thread, I fear that we might find ourselves up against 25 players today.


Bad timing for that Creampuff crap to happen last week,
leading up to a very important game that could define our season.

It's a great chance to beat the Swans at Etihad, our fortress,
we haven't beaten them in ages and the Swines are just starting to gel,
we need everything going our way and this sledging stuff is now
an unwelcome distraction.
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Win or lose, at least he'll have kebabs to feed his hungry horde :mrgreen: :lol:
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Re: Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby kosifantutti » Sat 20 May 2017 5:53pm

Well that was depressing.

Currently 8th and could drop as low as 11th.

Any sort of win by Freo or Melbourne puts them ahead of us

Essendon would need at least a 15 goal win to get past us.

If Richmond were to lose by 5+ goals they would drop below us.
If GWS scores 100, Richmond would have to score 68 or less.
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Re: Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby saintbrat » Sun 21 May 2017 7:09pm

Thank you North-- Can the blues stage an overhaul to keep us in the 8?
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Re: Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby saintsRrising » Sun 21 May 2017 7:27pm

kosifantutti wrote:
Essendon would need at least a 15 goal win to get past us.

.


Well they almost achieved it.
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Re: Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby kosifantutti » Sun 21 May 2017 7:34pm

saintbrat wrote:Thank you North

They also relegated Hawthorn to 17th.
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Re: Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby saintsRrising » Sun 21 May 2017 8:11pm

Freo back in the 8 which pushes the saints out.
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Re: Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby saintsRrising » Sun 21 May 2017 8:12pm

Saints have Dogs and Crows the next 2 games. We need to win one or will drift lower and maybe a lot lower of the ladder.
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Re: Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby WellardSaint » Sun 21 May 2017 8:30pm

saintsRrising wrote:Saints have Dogs and Crows the next 2 games. We need to win one or will drift lower and maybe a lot lower of the ladder.

If they keep bombing into F50 like bloody Under-9 kids,
Dogs+Crows gonna belt the crop outta us.

Bye bye 8. .
Nice while it lasted
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Re: Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby Con Gorozidis » Sun 21 May 2017 8:34pm

We are just keeping 9th spot warm for the Tigers at this stage.
I think both us and the Swans can make the 8.
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Re: Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby Teflon » Sun 21 May 2017 8:41pm

Still don't have top end talent to challenge top 4
We are at best low 8 - 11 side but we have room to grow
I see dumb people...
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Re: Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby saintspremiers » Sun 21 May 2017 8:43pm

What's widely unreported by the media dickwads is that Port and GC had a bye this week so the ladder is incomplete.

Next week we have a full 9 games but then the stupid 3 weeks of bye rounds begins.

So we have to wait until the completion of Round 13 to have a balanced ladder
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Re: Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby saintsRrising » Sun 21 May 2017 9:03pm

saintspremiers wrote:What's widely unreported by the media dickwads is that Port and GC had a bye this week so the ladder is incomplete.

Next week we have a full 9 games but then the stupid 3 weeks of bye rounds begins.

So we have to wait until the completion of Round 13 to have a balanced ladder


Though neither team would alter who is in the 8 at present even if you gave them both 4 points extra.
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Re: Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby Con Gorozidis » Sun 21 May 2017 9:38pm

I still think GWS are clear favourites. It is theirs to lose.
Obvious threats will come from Dogs and Crows.
Swans and Port are the wild cards now.
Can only see 5 winning it.
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Re: Ladder Watch Round 9

Postby saintsRrising » Mon 22 May 2017 12:14am

The latest live ladder by Ranking Software (The guy that created and sold Champion Data) has us just sneaking into 8th by seasons end.

http://www.liveladders.com/AFL/

PS: Hawks still 17th (But equal points with 2 other clubs). So pick 2-4 if that enventuates.
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