Toy Saint wrote:Carlton are seriously threatening our #1 draft pick
It is hard to get a handle on who will finish right down the bottom this year, isn't it?
Carlton have already won one game, and it was a reasonable win too - against Essendon at the G. Most teams in the bottom three or four have a purple patch at some stage where they win a few games in close proximity, and then snatch an upset late in the season. They'll probably win six games.
Looking at the ladder today and the three top sides this time last year haven't won a game between them, and none of them are favourites this round either. That could mean that all three will be zero-five after five rounds. Normally you would just pencil sides in that position to finish bottom four, but Hawthorn have only recently won four flags, Sydney have played in two grand finals in the past few seasons, and North Melbourne have only had four seasons where they have won seven games or less since 1972, their worst season in that time netting them five wins, so all of three of these sides would appear highly unlikely from a historical perspective to finish bottom four. However, I think where Hawthorn finishes this year depends greatly on the next two rounds actually. A winnable one against West Coast in Melbourne, followed by us in Launceston which is a 50/50 game. They could win one or both of those. If they do lose both we may indeed be looking at a top three draft pick again, and quite possible two inside the top ten, so we'd want to use them wisely. A 190cm pacey outside midfielder would be one we'd chase I think.
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