Saints V Geelong round 5 preview

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Saints V Geelong round 5 preview

Postby dragit » Tue 18 Apr 2017 3:33pm

AFL.COM SUMMARY
St Kilda has its season back on an even ledger at 2-2 without having played its best football. It comes into this game on the back of two relatively scrappy wins against the Brisbane Lions and Collingwood and will likely need to be cleaner with the ball against Geelong to cause an upset. The speed the Saints have plays well under the roof at Etihad Stadium and will cause concerns for the Cats. By Chris Scott's own admission, his side isn't at its best despite sitting unbeaten through the first four rounds. Patrick Dangerfield and Joel Selwood have typically been in excellent form but impressive contributions from the likes of Tom Hawkins, Mitch Duncan and Steven Motlop are what can make this side a premiership contender.

LAST FIVE TIMES
R14, 2016, St Kilda 14.9 (93) d Geelong 13.12 (90) at Etihad Stadium
R21, 2015, St Kilda 14.13 (97) drew Geelong 15.7 (97) at Etihad Stadium
R13, 2014, Geelong 20.13 (133) d St Kilda 5.7 (37) at Simonds Stadium
R18, 2013, Geelong 21.11 (137) d St Kilda 5.6 (36) at Simonds Stadium
R21, 2012, Geelong 18.15 (123) d St Kilda 11.15 (81) at Etihad Stadium

THE SIX POINTS
1. In round 14 last year, the Saints led by 24 points at half-time before the Cats kicked nine goals to six in the second half, forcing the Saints to hold on. Seb Ross was best on ground for the Saints with 33 disposals.

2. The Cats are ranked second for points per game, averaging 121.7 through four matches. They have been equally as stingy, ranked second for points conceded, at 82.2 points per game.

3. St Kilda’s win in 2016 was its first over Geelong since the 2010 qualifying final. The last two clashes have gone down to the wire: a draw in 2015 before the thriller in 2016. The Saints haven’t won consecutive clashes with Geelong since 2010.

4. The Saints are the No.1 contested marking side in 2017, averaging 13.8 per game. Geelong has also been impressive in this area, ranked sixth at an average of 12.3.

5. Nothing separates the sides at Etihad Stadium: 15 clashes for seven wins each and one draw.

6. In-form Geelong forward Tom Hawkins entered the top 50 of the Schick AFL Player Ratings for the first time in his career this season, on the back of his accurate haul of 16.5 this year.

IT'S A BIG WEEK FOR … Nathan Brown.
The former Collingwood defender has been playing well and stopping power forwards in the mould of Tom Hawkins are exactly the reason he was recruited to St Kilda. Hawkins has kicked 20 goals in his past five games against the Saints.

PREDICTION: Geelong by eight points.
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Re: Saints V Geelong round 5 preview

Postby dragit » Tue 18 Apr 2017 3:37pm

Not a lot separating the sides in some key stats

(averages)

Saints …………… Cats
369 Disposals 386
34 Clearances 37
53 Inside-50 52
142 Contested Possessions 150
70 Tackles 65
32 Hit-Outs 36
16 Free Kicks 20
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Re: Saints V Geelong round 5 preview

Postby St Chris » Tue 18 Apr 2017 4:44pm

Massive challenge this week, but massive opportunity too.

I think we're a sneaky chance - the Cats are handball happy, and if our pressure can force them into over possessing, we can pounce on the turnover. The pressure has to be flat out for 4 quarters though, and we need to covert our shots.
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Re: Saints V Geelong round 5 preview

Postby R. Harvey 3 votes! » Tue 18 Apr 2017 7:09pm

It is pretty simple.

Kick straighter at goal and we are in this up to our eyeballs.

Kick the way we have been and it's Geelong by how far.

Just kick straight for goal FFS!
When Harvey played his first game in 1988, I was a 12yo wearing short pants and struggling with my readin', writin' and 'rithmetic in grade eight. Now, I'm a father of three and a retired AFL player. And he's still going. Amazing! - Michael Voss
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Re: Saints V Geelong round 5 preview

Postby tony74 » Tue 18 Apr 2017 8:24pm

Two 6 day breaks after this one.
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Re: Saints V Geelong round 5 preview

Postby Otiman » Tue 18 Apr 2017 8:25pm

St Chris wrote: The pressure has to be flat out for 4 quarters though, and we need to covert our shots.


This pretty much sums it up for me. Hard to argue anything else matters.
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Re: Saints V Geelong round 5 preview

Postby Playon » Tue 18 Apr 2017 8:36pm

I'm pretty confident our backline will match up well on their forwards, the have Danger, we'll get back Steven. They have Motlop but at the other end we'll have Gresham. How well will they go at stopping Roo, Membrey and Bruce?

Without going into it too deep they are far from certainties
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Re: Saints V Geelong round 5 preview

Postby SaintPav » Tue 18 Apr 2017 9:46pm

Think we've had the better preparation with the frantic last ten min than their soft last half.

Hoping it will work for us.
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Re: Saints V Geelong round 5 preview

Postby stonecold » Tue 18 Apr 2017 10:52pm

SaintPav wrote:Think we've had the better preparation with the frantic last ten min than their soft last half.

Hoping it will work for us.


Yeap, big +1, I think we will, not only beat them, but by about 6 goals and more!!!!!
'Cause StoneCold Said So'!!!!!
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